Tag Archives: silver

Gold VS Oil Price Performance

April 02/2026

Gold & Oil Price Predictions if Iran War Drags On
If the Iran conflict stretches into summer, we could expect oil to punch through $120/bbl fairly easily—Goldman pegs $14+ risk premium from Hormuz chaos alone, with Bank of America eyeing $150/barrel if infrastructure stays damaged and they are not able to begin repairs or damage increases.
Juniors in exploration and production can be expected to maintain high investor interest levels given the elevated mineral prices and elevated demand.
“Picks and shovels’ companies, or suppliers to the industry such as innovative clean-tech mineral processing companies like
RZOLV Technologies Inc.  (RZL.V-RZOLV-OTC) should get a double boost from sky-high energy costs and gold’s inevitable safe-haven snapback in price to $5,500–$6,500/oz.
Canadian resource plays remain positioned to outperform, especially with AI creating frightful job loss conditions.
Big Tech and especially software focused companies have been particularly hard hit in the markets in recent months.
Oil delivery problems from Strait of Hormuz continue to create supply risks (20% global supply) and Iranian export halts, with $15–$25/bbl premiums may turn into sustained disruptions. Gold gains as a result of the flight to safe-haven amid inflation/energy shocks, though dollar strength caps early upside—
Remember historical crises like 1979 Iran Revolution saw 150% spikes in the price of oil.
Base Brent $100+ persists even post-ceasefire due to infrastructure damage.

Gold and Silver Price Breakouts

It has finally happened, silver has broken out past the Feb 2021 high after a long pullback and consolidation. Gold has broken out weekly gold chart to new all time highs of course as everyone who follows the sector knows by now. This happened back in April 2024 and price per ounce has been appreciating ever since, much to the delight of gold bugs everywhere!

In fact Goldman Sachs just announced their new gold price estimate:  Goldman Sachs raises gold price target to S$2,900/oz by early 2025 on sovereign buying, fund flows.

“We reiterate our long gold recommendation due to the gradual boost from lower global interest rates, structurally higher central bank demand and gold’s hedging benefits against geopolitical, financial, and recessionary risks,” the bank said in a note.

 

Silver on the other hand has just broken out albeit not to all time highs, but nevertheless it has broken out of a significant resistance area. Weekly silver chart.

Now the gold/silver price ratio is still at historically highs of about 82:1 whereas a healthy ratio some investors believe to be as low as 16:1! Therefore many people (experts??) are calling for much higher silver prices and have been doing so for a long time. So these are exciting times for silver buffs and we could see various events coming together for a long awaited bull market in silver and silver mining companies.

Hold on to your hats and lets see what bargains are out there. CJR has been following Mexican based silver producer Avino Silver and Gold Mines for many years. We are currently seeing a breakout above the price going way back to July 2021, with shares trading at $1.56 (cad). CJR does not currently own shares and Avino is not a client. However we may soon own shares since we see this well managed silver producer as a solid way to participate in what looks like a coming silver bull market.

Stay tuned for more info on these exciting breakouts…

Editor
CJR